If the Playoffs started today…
American League
| Magic Numbers | Division Winners % | Wild Cards % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Record | Playoffs | Win Div | 1st Rnd Bye | #1 Seed | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | Playoff % |
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rays | 86-58 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 77 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 20 | 3 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 2 |  Chicago White Sox | 75-69 | 14 | 16 | 17 | — | <0.1 | 69 | 14 | <0.1 | 0.1 | 12 | 95 |
| 3 |  Houston Astros | 74-71 | 15 | 15 | — | — | <0.1 | 17 | 62 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 3 | 83 |
| 4 |  New York Yankees | 82-62 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 22 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 73 | 5 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 5 |  Boston Red Sox | 80-66 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 7 | 91 | 1 | >99.9 |
| 6 |  Cleveland Guardians | 74-72 | 16 | 16 | — | — | <0.1 | 12 | 5 | <0.1 | 0.5 | 34 | 51 |
| 7 |  Toronto Blue Jays | 73-73 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.2 | 34 | 34 |
| 8 |  Texas Rangers | 72-73 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | 2 | 18 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 12 | 31 |
| 9 |  Baltimore Orioles | 70-76 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 2 |
| 10 |  Minnesota Twins | 69-76 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | 0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Seattle Mariners | 67-78 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | 1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Detroit Tigers | 66-79 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 13 |  Kansas City Royals | 64-82 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 14 |  Athletics Athletics | 58-88 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 15 |  Los Angeles Angels | 55-90 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
National League
| Magic Numbers | Division Winners % | Wild Cards % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Record | Playoffs | Win Div | 1st Rnd Bye | #1 Seed | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | Playoff % |
| 1 |  Milwaukee Brewers | 90-56 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 70 | 26 | 4 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Dodgers | 88-57 | 5 | 7 | 15 | — | 28 | 62 | 11 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 3 |  Atlanta Braves | 85-60 | 8 | 13 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 83 | 2 | 1 | 0.1 | >99.9 |
| 4 |  Philadelphia Phillies | 81-64 | 12 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | 3 | 32 | 47 | 16 | 97 |
| 5 |  Chicago Cubs | 81-65 | 11 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 62 | 31 | 6 | 99 |
| 6 |  Arizona Diamondbacks | 78-68 | 15 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 56 |
| 7 |  San Diego Padres | 77-68 | 16 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 48 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Pirates | 72-73 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| 9 |  Miami Marlins | 72-74 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 10 |  St. Louis Cardinals | 72-74 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 11 |  Cincinnati Reds | 69-76 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 12 |  New York Mets | 67-78 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 13 |  Washington Nationals | 67-80 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 14 |  San Francisco Giants | 61-85 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Colorado Rockies | 55-89 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE
1Rays86-58Playoff4Div15Bye151 Seed15>99.9%2White Sox75-69Playoff14Div16Bye171 Seed—95%3Astros74-71Playoff15Div15Bye—1 Seed—83%4Yankees82-62Playoff7Div18Bye181 Seed18>99.9%5Red Sox80-66Playoff10Div—Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%6Guardians74-72Playoff16Div16Bye—1 Seed—51%Still Mathematically Alive
7Blue Jays73-73Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—34%8Rangers72-73Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—31%9Orioles70-76Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim2%10Twins69-76Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—3%11Mariners67-78Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim1%12Tigers66-79Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim0.1%13Royals64-82Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%14Athletics58-88Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%Eliminated From Playoff Contention
15Angels55-90PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE
1Brewers90-56Playoff3Div7Bye131 Seed15>99.9%2Dodgers88-57Playoff5Div7Bye151 Seed—>99.9%3Braves85-60Playoff8Div13Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%4Phillies81-64Playoff12Div—Bye—1 Seed—97%5Cubs81-65Playoff11Div—Bye—1 Seed—99%6Diamondbacks78-68Playoff15Div—Bye—1 Seed—56%Still Mathematically Alive
7Padres77-68Playoff16Div—Bye—1 Seed—48%8Pirates72-73Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0.3%9Marlins72-74Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim0.1%10Cardinals72-74Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0.1%11Reds69-76Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%12Mets67-78Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%13Nationals67-80Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%Eliminated From Playoff Contention
14Giants61-85PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%15Rockies55-89PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%Tiebreaking steps used to generate seedings1 tie
NL Wild Card race and remaining order (seeds 4-6 and below)
Two-club tie for the No. 9 seed (outside the playoff spots): Marlins, Cardinals
Marlins 72-74 (.493) · Cardinals 72-74 (.493)
Head-to-head — comparing Marlins, Cardinals
| 1. | Marlins | 4-2 (.667) |
| 2. | Cardinals | 2-4 (.333) |
MIA qualifies for the No. 9 seed (outside the playoff spots); STL takes the next spot.
Result: 1. Marlins 2. Cardinals