If the Playoffs started today…

Season:

As of:

Odds method:Strength of Schedule (Pythagorean)Coin Flip

American League

			Magic Numbers				Division Winners %			Wild Cards %
#	Team	Record	Playoffs	Win Div	1st Rnd Bye	#1 Seed	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	Playoff %
1	Tampa Bay Rays	84-57	8	19	19	19	68	<0.1	<0.1	28	4	<0.1	>99.9
2	Chicago White Sox	74-67	18	19	—	—	<0.1	71	16	<0.1	0.2	9	96
3	Houston Astros	73-69	19	18	—	—	<0.1	19	65	<0.1	<0.1	2	86
4	New York Yankees	80-60	11	22	22	—	31	<0.1	<0.1	64	5	<0.1	>99.9
5	Boston Red Sox	77-65	15	—	—	—	1	<0.1	<0.1	8	88	3	99.6
6	Cleveland Guardians	72-70	20	22	—	—	<0.1	9	4	<0.1	1	33	47
7	Toronto Blue Jays	71-71	—	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	1	36	37
8	$Rangers logo$ Texas Rangers	70-72	21	—	—	—	<0.1	1	12	<0.1	0.1	10	22
9	Baltimore Orioles	69-73	—	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	5	5
10	Minnesota Twins	67-74	—	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	2	3
11	Seattle Mariners	66-75	—	—	—	—	<0.1	0.2	3	<0.1	<0.1	1	4
12	Detroit Tigers	64-77	—	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	0.2	0.3
13	Kansas City Royals	63-79	—	—	—	Elim	0	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1
14	Athletics Athletics	55-86	—	—	—	Elim	0	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1
15	Los Angeles Angels	53-88	—	—	—	Elim	0	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1

National League

			Magic Numbers				Division Winners %			Wild Cards %
#	Team	Record	Playoffs	Win Div	1st Rnd Bye	#1 Seed	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	Playoff %
1	Milwaukee Brewers	88-54	6	13	18	18	82	14	4	0.2	<0.1	<0.1	>99.9
2	Atlanta Braves	84-57	10	17	—	—	8	38	52	1	1	<0.1	>99.9
3	Los Angeles Dodgers	83-57	11	13	—	—	10	48	42	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	>99.9
4	Chicago Cubs	80-62	14	—	—	—	0.1	0.1	<0.1	75	23	2	>99.9
5	Philadelphia Phillies	79-62	15	21	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	2	23	64	9	98
6	San Diego Padres	73-67	21	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	0.3	5	39	44
7	Arizona Diamondbacks	74-68	20	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	0.3	7	41	48
8	Miami Marlins	71-71	—	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	0.3	4	4
9	St. Louis Cardinals	71-71	—	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	0.2	4	4
10	Pittsburgh Pirates	70-72	—	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	2	2
11	Cincinnati Reds	67-74	—	—	—	—	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1
12	Washington Nationals	67-75	—	—	—	Elim	0	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	0.2	0.2
13	New York Mets	64-77	—	—	—	Elim	0	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1
14	San Francisco Giants	58-84	—	Elim	Elim	Elim	0	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1
15	Colorado Rockies	54-87	Elim	Elim	Elim	Elim	0	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	<0.1	0

#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE

Brewers88-54Playoff6Div13Bye181 Seed18>99.9%2

Braves84-57Playoff10Div17Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%3

Dodgers83-57Playoff11Div13Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%4

Cubs80-62Playoff14Div—Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%5

Phillies79-62Playoff15Div21Bye—1 Seed—98%6

Padres73-67Playoff21Div—Bye—1 Seed—44%

Still Mathematically Alive

Diamondbacks74-68Playoff20Div—Bye—1 Seed—48%8

Marlins71-71Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—4%9

Cardinals71-71Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—4%10

Pirates70-72Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—2%

Eliminated From Playoff Contention

Reds67-74Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—<0.1%12

Nationals67-75Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim0.2%13

Mets64-77Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%14

Giants58-84Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%15

Rockies54-87PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%

Head-to-head — comparing Marlins, Cardinals

Marlins	0.6666666666666666	← advances
Cardinals	0.3333333333333333