0-8
Playoff chances
<0.1%
Week 10 scenarios
No. 1 seed
Eliminated with
- 1)LAC loss + BUF win + CLE win + LV win, or
- 2)LAC loss + BUF win + LV win/tie + NE win, or
- 3)LAC loss + BUF win + KC win + LV win, or
- 4)LAC loss + BUF win + CLE win + KC win, or
- 5)LAC loss + BUF win + KC win + NE win/tie, or
- 6)LAC loss + BUF tie + KC win + NE win, or
- 7)LAC loss + BUF win + KC tie + NE win, or
- 8)LAC loss + BUF win + CLE win + NE win, or
Still searching for more.
No week 10 result clinches or ends the playoff berth or AFC West title.
No week 10 result clinches the No. 1 seed.
Seed builder
Pin seats or set a club’s goal to see which AFC seedings fit and which are still possible.
Playoff odds
A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.
| Chance of | StrengthStrength of sched.Pythagorean | Coin flipCoin flipevery game 50/50 |
|---|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | <0.1% | 0.2% |
| Win the division | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Wild card berth | <0.1% | 0.2% |
| No. 1 seed and bye | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Postseason | ||
| Reach the Divisional Round | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Reach the Conference Championship | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Reach the Super Bowl | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Win the Super Bowl | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Final seed | ||
| #1 seed | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| #2 seed | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| #3 seed | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| #4 seed | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| #5 seed | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| #6 seed | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| #7 seed | <0.1% | 0.1% |
| Miss the playoffs | >99.9% | 99.8% |
Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.