6-3
Playoff chances
64%
Week 8 scenarios
No accolade can be clinched or eliminated by week 8's games alone.
Control of their destiny
Weeks 8–18 · after Sunday night's game, week 8
Where they stand
Playoff berth
Controls destinyWin out and it's theirs.
NFC North title
Needs helpWinning out is not enough · 2 ways back
No. 1 seed
Needs helpWinning out is not enough · 1 way back
Key dates
Playoff berth
Maybe earlier in week 14, Sunday's early games. The clinch date is still narrowing.
NFC North title
No. 1 seed
Nothing before it is ruled out yet.
Each bar starts at the first window it can happen in. Dashed: not ruled out yet.
Ways back to control
NFC North title
- 1)GB 6 wins + DET 1 loss + MIN loss to DET (wk 15), or
- 2)GB 9 wins + DET 1 loss + MIN loss to CHI (wk 18)
No. 1 seed
- 1)GB 6 wins + DET 1 loss + NYG 1 loss + SEA 1 loss + SF loss to DAL (wk 10) + SF loss to MIN (wk 11) + MIN loss to DET (wk 15)
The playoff berth needs none: winning out is enough. Losses are to clubs other than the Packers.
Seed builder
Pin seats or set a club’s goal to see which NFC seedings fit and which are still possible.
Playoff odds
A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.
| Chance of | StrengthStrength of sched.Pythagorean | Coin flipCoin flipevery game 50/50 |
|---|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 64% | 67% |
| Win the division | 10% | 13% |
| Wild card berth | 54% | 53% |
| No. 1 seed and bye | 2% | 6% |
| Postseason | ||
| Reach the Divisional Round | 33% | 37% |
| Reach the Conference Championship | 14% | 18% |
| Reach the Super Bowl | 6% | 8% |
| Win the Super Bowl | 2% | 4% |
| Final seed | ||
| #1 seed | 2% | 6% |
| #2 seed | 7% | 6% |
| #3 seed | 0.4% | 1% |
| #4 seed | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| #5 seed | 15% | 18% |
| #6 seed | 19% | 18% |
| #7 seed | 21% | 17% |
| Miss the playoffs | 36% | 34% |
Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.