5-2-1
Playoff chances
83%
Week 9 scenarios
No accolade can be clinched or eliminated by week 9's games alone.
Control of their destiny
Weeks 9–18 · after Sunday night's game, week 9
Where they stand
Playoff berth
Controls destinyWin out and it's theirs.
NFC East title
Controls destinyWin out and it's theirs.
No. 1 seed
Needs helpWinning out is not enough · 2 ways back
Key dates
Playoff berth
NFC East title
No. 1 seed
Nothing before it is ruled out yet.
Each bar starts at the first window it can happen in. Dashed: not ruled out yet.
Ways back to control
No. 1 seed
- 1)NYG 2 wins + MIN 2 losses + CHI 1 loss + SF loss to DAL (wk 10), or
- 2)NYG 2 wins + MIN 2 losses + CHI 1 loss + SF loss to MIN (wk 11)
The playoff berth and the NFC East title need none: winning out is enough. Losses are to clubs other than the Giants.
Seed builder
Pin seats or set a club’s goal to see which NFC seedings fit and which are still possible.
Playoff odds
A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.
| Chance of | StrengthStrength of sched.Pythagorean | Coin flipCoin flipevery game 50/50 |
|---|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 83% | 79% |
| Win the division | 83% | 75% |
| Wild card berth | 1% | 4% |
| No. 1 seed and bye | 1% | 8% |
| Postseason | ||
| Reach the Divisional Round | 34% | 43% |
| Reach the Conference Championship | 13% | 22% |
| Reach the Super Bowl | 5% | 11% |
| Win the Super Bowl | 1% | 6% |
| Final seed | ||
| #1 seed | 1% | 8% |
| #2 seed | 6% | 16% |
| #3 seed | 62% | 42% |
| #4 seed | 14% | 10% |
| #5 seed | <0.1% | 0.4% |
| #6 seed | <0.1% | 1% |
| #7 seed | 1% | 2% |
| Miss the playoffs | 17% | 21% |
Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.