PlayoffRace
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8-9

Week 18 scenarios

Playoff berth

Clinched with

  1. 1), or
  2. 2)

Eliminated with

  1. 1)

NFC South title

Clinched with

  1. 1), or
  2. 2)

Eliminated with

  1. 1)

Eliminated from the No. 1 seed.

Seed builder

Pin seats or set a club’s goal to see which NFC seedings fit and which are still possible.

Playoff odds

A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.

Chance ofStrengthCoin flip
Make the playoffs——
Win the division——
Wild card berth——
No. 1 seed and bye——
Final seed
#1 seed——
#2 seed——
#3 seed——
#4 seed——
#5 seed——
#6 seed——
#7 seed——
Miss the playoffs——

Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.