NFL · 2025 Season

Tiebreak Simulator

Decide any game on the real schedule, down to the points and touchdowns, and watch the standings, the seeds and every NFL tiebreaker recompute instantly, right here in your browser.

MLB simulator

Showing the real results.

Results

The playoff field as this scenario stands: division winners seeded 1-4, three Wild Cards 5-7, the No. 1 seed on a bye.

AFC

1Broncos14-3Bye
2Patriots14-3Div
3Jaguars13-4Div
4Steelers10-7Div
5Texans12-5WC
6Bills12-5WC
7Chargers11-6WC

Wild Card round

7Chargersat2Patriots
6Billsat3Jaguars
5Texansat4Steelers

NFC

1Seahawks14-3Bye
2Bears11-6Div
3Eagles11-6Div
4Panthers8-9Div
5Rams12-5WC
649ers12-5WC
7Packers9-7-1WC

Wild Card round

7Packersat2Bears
649ersat3Eagles
5Ramsat4Panthers

Standings

Overall

	Team	W-L-T	Pct
1	DEN	14-3	.824
2	NE	14-3	.824
3	JAX	13-4	.765
4	PIT	10-7	.588
5	HOU	12-5	.706
6	BUF	12-5	.706
7	LAC	11-6	.647
8	IND	8-9	.471
9	BAL	8-9	.471
10	MIA	7-10	.412
11	CIN	6-11	.353
12	KC	6-11	.353
13	CLE	5-12	.294
14	LV	3-14	.176
15	NYJ	3-14	.176
16	TEN	3-14	.176

H2H vs CIN

	Team	W-L-T
1	DEN	1-0
2	NE	1-0
3	JAX	0-1
4	PIT	1-1
6	BUF	1-0
9	BAL	1-1
10	MIA	0-1
13	CLE	1-1
15	NYJ	1-0

The other 6 clubs don’t play the Bengals this season.

Division

#	Team	Div	W-L-T	Val
1	DEN	West	5-1	.833
2	HOU	South	5-1	.833
3	JAX	South	5-1	.833
4	LAC	West	5-1	.833
5	NE	East	5-1	.833
6	BUF	East	4-2	.667
7	PIT	North	4-2	.667
8	BAL	North	3-3	.500
9	CIN	North	3-3	.500
10	MIA	East	3-3	.500
11	CLE	North	2-4	.333
12	IND	South	2-4	.333
13	KC	West	1-5	.167
14	LV	West	1-5	.167
15	NYJ	East	0-6	.000
16	TEN	South	0-6	.000

Common w/ CIN

			Club	CIN
	Team	G	Now	Now
1	DEN	3/3	2-1	1-2
2	NE	9/9	7-2	4-5
3	JAX	3/3	3-0	1-2
4	PIT	12/12	8-4	3-9
5	HOU	6/6	4-2	3-3
6	BUF	9/9	7-2	4-5
7	LAC	6/6	4-2	3-3
8	IND	6/6	3-3	4-2
9	BAL	12/12	7-5	3-9
10	MIA	9/9	3-6	3-6
12	KC	6/6	2-4	2-4
13	CLE	12/12	3-9	3-9
14	LV	6/6	1-5	2-4
15	NYJ	11/11	1-10	5-6
16	TEN	6/6	2-4	3-3

Conference

#	Team	W-L-T	Val
1	HOU	10-2	.833
2	JAX	10-2	.833
3	BUF	9-3	.750
4	DEN	9-3	.750
5	NE	9-3	.750
6	LAC	8-4	.667
7	PIT	8-4	.667
8	IND	6-6	.500
9	BAL	5-7	.417
10	CIN	5-7	.417
11	CLE	4-8	.333
12	KC	3-9	.250
13	LV	3-9	.250
14	MIA	3-9	.250
15	NYJ	2-10	.167
16	TEN	2-10	.167

SOV

#	Team	Val
1	PIT	.453
2	CIN	.451
3	LV	.451
4	HOU	.441
5	JAX	.425
6	LAC	.425
7	CLE	.418
8	BUF	.412
9	BAL	.408
10	IND	.382
11	DEN	.378
12	MIA	.378
13	NYJ	.373
14	NE	.370
15	KC	.363
16	TEN	.275

SOS

#	Team	Val
1	TEN	.574
2	NYJ	.552
3	IND	.540
4	LV	.538
5	HOU	.522
6	CIN	.521
7	KC	.514
8	BAL	.507
9	PIT	.503
10	MIA	.488
11	CLE	.486
12	JAX	.478
13	BUF	.471
14	LAC	.469
15	DEN	.422
16	NE	.391

Pts Rank (Conf)

#	Team	PF+PA	Val
1	NE	#1+#3	4
2	HOU	#7+#1	8
3	JAX	#3+#5	8
4	BUF	#2+#7	9
5	DEN	#8+#2	10
6	BAL	#5+#10	15
7	IND	#4+#11	15
8	KC	#11+#4	15
9	LAC	#10+#6	16
10	PIT	#9+#9	18
11	CIN	#6+#15	21
12	CLE	#15+#8	23
13	MIA	#12+#12	24
14	TEN	#14+#14	28
15	LV	#16+#13	29
16	NYJ	#13+#16	29

Pts Rank (NFL)

#	Team	PF+PA	Val
1	NE	#2+#4	6
2	JAX	#6+#8	14
3	HOU	#13+#2	15
4	BUF	#4+#12	16
5	DEN	#14+#3	17
6	KC	#21+#6	27
7	BAL	#11+#18	29
8	IND	#8+#21	29
9	LAC	#20+#9	29
10	PIT	#15+#17	32
11	CIN	#12+#30	42
12	CLE	#31+#14	45
13	MIA	#25+#24	49
14	LV	#32+#25	57
15	TEN	#30+#28	58
16	NYJ	#29+#31	60

Net Pts (Conf)

#	Team	Val
1	JAX	+150
2	NE	+111
3	HOU	+92
4	IND	+74
5	BUF	+72
6	DEN	+56
7	PIT	+29
8	BAL	+9
9	LAC	+1
10	KC	-7
11	CLE	-29
12	CIN	-36
13	LV	-101
14	MIA	-108
15	TEN	-154
16	NYJ	-159

Net Pts

#	Team	PF/PA	Val
1	NE	490/320	+170
2	JAX	474/336	+138
3	BUF	481/365	+116
4	HOU	404/295	+109
5	DEN	401/311	+90
6	IND	466/412	+54
7	KC	362/328	+34
8	LAC	368/340	+28
9	BAL	424/398	+26
10	PIT	397/387	+10
11	MIA	347/424	-77
12	CIN	414/492	-78
13	CLE	279/379	-100
14	LV	241/432	-191
15	TEN	284/478	-194
16	NYJ	300/503	-203

Net TD

#	Team	Val
1	NE	+19
2	BUF	+18
3	JAX	+17
4	DEN	+16
5	IND	+11
6	KC	+5
7	BAL	+4
8	PIT	+3
9	HOU	+1
10	LAC	+1
11	CIN	-10
12	CLE	-12
13	MIA	-12
14	LV	-24
15	TEN	-25
16	NYJ	-28

Tiebreaking stepsEvery NFL tiebreak step applied, race by race, in both conferences.

AFC

AFC division winners (seeds 1-4)3 steps

Head-to-headPatriots, Broncos
Not applicable: the tied clubs have not played each other.
Win pct in conference gamesPatriots, Broncos
- Patriots 9-3 (.750)
- Broncos 9-3 (.750)
Win pct in common games (min 4)Patriots, Broncos
- Patriots 5-1 (.833)
- Broncos 6-0 (1.000)
Separates Broncos.

AFC Wild Card race and remaining order (seeds 5-7 and below)12 steps

Head-to-headBills, Texans
- Bills 0-1 (.000)
- Texans 1-0 (1.000)
Separates Texans.
Head-to-headRavens, Colts
Not applicable: the tied clubs have not played each other.
Win pct in conference gamesRavens, Colts
- Ravens 5-7 (.417)
- Colts 6-6 (.500)
Separates Colts.
Head-to-headBengals, Chiefs
Not applicable: the tied clubs have not played each other.
Win pct in conference gamesBengals, Chiefs
- Bengals 5-7 (.417)
- Chiefs 3-9 (.250)
Separates Bengals.
Highest-ranked club in each divisionJets, Titans, Raiders
Not applicable: the tied clubs are already one per division.
Head-to-head sweepJets, Titans, Raiders
Not applicable: no club swept, or was swept by, every other tied club.
Win pct in conference gamesJets, Titans, Raiders
- Jets 2-10 (.167)
- Titans 2-10 (.167)
- Raiders 3-9 (.250)
Separates Raiders.
Head-to-headJets, Titans
Not applicable: the tied clubs have not played each other.
Win pct in conference gamesJets, Titans
- Jets 2-10 (.167)
- Titans 2-10 (.167)
Win pct in common games (min 4)Jets, Titans
- Jets 1-5 (.167)
- Titans 1-5 (.167)
Strength of victoryJets, Titans
- Jets .373
- Titans .275
Separates Jets.

NFC

NFC North standings1 step

Head-to-headLions, Vikings
- Lions 0-2 (.000)
- Vikings 2-0 (1.000)
Separates Vikings.

NFC South standings4 steps

Head-to-headFalcons, Panthers, Buccaneers
- Falcons 1-3 (.250)
- Panthers 3-1 (.750)
- Buccaneers 2-2 (.500)
Separates Panthers.
Head-to-headFalcons, Buccaneers
- Falcons 1-1 (.500)
- Buccaneers 1-1 (.500)
Win pct in division gamesFalcons, Buccaneers
- Falcons 3-3 (.500)
- Buccaneers 3-3 (.500)
Win pct in common gamesFalcons, Buccaneers
- Falcons 5-7 (.417)
- Buccaneers 6-6 (.500)
Separates Buccaneers.

NFC West standings3 steps

Head-to-headRams, 49ers
- Rams 1-1 (.500)
- 49ers 1-1 (.500)
Win pct in division gamesRams, 49ers
- Rams 4-2 (.667)
- 49ers 4-2 (.667)
Win pct in common gamesRams, 49ers
- Rams 9-3 (.750)
- 49ers 8-4 (.667)
Separates Rams.

NFC division winners (seeds 1-4)1 step

Head-to-headEagles, Bears
- Eagles 0-1 (.000)
- Bears 1-0 (1.000)
Separates Bears.

NFC Wild Card race and remaining order (seeds 5-7 and below)3 steps

All tied clubs from the same divisionRams, 49ers
- Rams 2nd in the NFC West
- 49ers 3rd in the NFC West
Every tied club is in the NFC West, so the division tiebreaker decides — see the NFC West standings above.
Separates Rams.
All tied clubs from the same divisionVikings, Lions
- Vikings 3rd in the NFC North
- Lions 4th in the NFC North
Every tied club is in the NFC North, so the division tiebreaker decides — see the NFC North standings above.
Separates Vikings.
All tied clubs from the same divisionBuccaneers, Falcons
- Buccaneers 2nd in the NFC South
- Falcons 3rd in the NFC South
Every tied club is in the NFC South, so the division tiebreaker decides — see the NFC South standings above.
Separates Buccaneers.

Build a scenario

Fill the rest of the seasonDecide every undecided game by one rule, then fine-tune by hand.

Fills only decide games that are still undecided, with a default score you can edit in the outcome controls.

Rewind the real seasonStart from the real results as they stood after any week.

Real results through week

Saved scenariosNamed copies kept in this browser.

Nothing saved for this season yet.

Search a scenario

Scenario constructorFind a complete season in which a club finishes with a given number of wins and still misses, or still makes, a spot.

Scenario games

Every game in this scenario is decided. Rewind the real season, or clear some picks, to leave games to build scenarios on.

Clinching scenarios

ClubFinal wins (now 6-11, 0 left)

Should they

The spot

A season found is proof it can happen. A search that finds nothing isn’t proof it can’t: the NFL’s tiebreakers read every club’s results, so the search tries the likeliest seasons, not all of them.

Advanced Seed ExplorerEvery way the conference's seeds can be filled, a division's places, or a scenario on one tiebreak level: two to four clubs and the games under consideration, opened a choice at a time.

There are 8,110,080 ways to fill the AFC's seeds 1-7. Open it and every box divides into the choice below it, until one way is left — or pick two to four clubs, the games under consideration and one tiebreak level, and every way those games can go is divided by how the clubs come out on that level.

Outcome controls

Pick the road side, a tie, or the home side for any game, then set the points and touchdowns the later tiebreakers read.

Week 18every game decided

Sat, Jan 3
CAR 14 (2 TD) at TB 16 (1 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
SEA 13 (1 TD) at SF 3 (0 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
CLE 20 (2 TD) at CIN 18 (3 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
DAL 17 (2 TD) at NYG 34 (3 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
GB 3 (0 TD) at MIN 16 (1 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
IND 30 (3 TD) at HOU 38 (3 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
NO 17 (2 TD) at ATL 19 (1 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
TEN 7 (1 TD) at JAX 41 (5 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
ARI 20 (2 TD) at LAR 37 (4 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
DET 19 (1 TD) at CHI 16 (2 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
KC 12 (0 TD) at LV 14 (0 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
LAC 3 (0 TD) at DEN 19 (1 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
MIA 10 (1 TD) at NE 38 (5 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
NYJ 8 (1 TD) at BUF 35 (5 TD)Real result
Sun, Jan 4
WSH 24 (3 TD) at PHI 17 (2 TD)Real result
Mon, Jan 5
BAL 24 (3 TD) at PIT 26 (3 TD)Real result

	Team	W-L-T
1	DEN	1-0
2	NE	1-0
3	JAX	0-1
4	PIT	1-1
6	BUF	1-0
9	BAL	1-1
10	MIA	0-1
13	CLE	1-1
15	NYJ	1-0

#	Team	Val
1	NE	+19
2	BUF	+18
3	JAX	+17
4	DEN	+16
5	IND	+11
6	KC	+5
7	BAL	+4
8	PIT	+3
9	HOU	+1
10	LAC	+1
11	CIN	-10
12	CLE	-12
13	MIA	-12
14	LV	-24
15	TEN	-25
16	NYJ	-28

	Team	W-L-T
1	DEN	1-0
2	NE	1-0
3	JAX	0-1
4	PIT	1-1
6	BUF	1-0
9	BAL	1-1
10	MIA	0-1
13	CLE	1-1
15	NYJ	1-0

#	Team	Val
1	NE	+19
2	BUF	+18
3	JAX	+17
4	DEN	+16
5	IND	+11
6	KC	+5
7	BAL	+4
8	PIT	+3
9	HOU	+1
10	LAC	+1
11	CIN	-10
12	CLE	-12
13	MIA	-12
14	LV	-24
15	TEN	-25
16	NYJ	-28

	Team	W-L-T
1	DEN	1-0
2	NE	1-0
3	JAX	0-1
4	PIT	1-1
6	BUF	1-0
9	BAL	1-1
10	MIA	0-1
13	CLE	1-1
15	NYJ	1-0

#	Team	Val
1	NE	+19
2	BUF	+18
3	JAX	+17
4	DEN	+16
5	IND	+11
6	KC	+5
7	BAL	+4
8	PIT	+3
9	HOU	+1
10	LAC	+1
11	CIN	-10
12	CLE	-12
13	MIA	-12
14	LV	-24
15	TEN	-25
16	NYJ	-28