13-4
Week 17 scenarios
AFC South title
Clinched with
- 1)JAX win + HOU loss/tie, or
- 2)JAX tie + HOU loss
No. 1 seed
Eliminated with
- 1)JAX loss/tie + DEN win, or
- 2)JAX loss/tie + NE win, or
- 3)JAX tie + DEN tie + LAC win, or
- 4)JAX loss + LAC win/tie, or
- 5)JAX loss + DEN tie, or
- 6)JAX loss + NE tie
Clinched the playoff berth.
No week 17 result clinches the No. 1 seed.
No week 17 result ends the AFC South title.
Seed builder
Pin seats or set a club’s goal to see which AFC seedings fit and which are still possible.
Playoff odds
A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.
| Chance of | StrengthStrength of sched.Pythagorean | Coin flipCoin flipevery game 50/50 |
|---|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | — | — |
| Win the division | — | — |
| Wild card berth | — | — |
| No. 1 seed and bye | — | — |
| Final seed | ||
| #1 seed | — | — |
| #2 seed | — | — |
| #3 seed | — | — |
| #4 seed | — | — |
| #5 seed | — | — |
| #6 seed | — | — |
| #7 seed | — | — |
| Miss the playoffs | — | — |
Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.