11-6
Week 17 scenarios
AFC West title
Eliminated with
- 1)LAC loss/tie + DEN win, or
- 2)LAC loss + DEN tie
No. 1 seed
Eliminated with
- 1)LAC loss/tie + DEN win, or
- 2)LAC loss/tie + NE win, or
- 3)LAC loss + DEN tie, or
- 4)LAC loss + NE tie, or
- 5)LAC loss + BUF win/tie + JAX win, or
- 6)DEN win/tie + LAC loss + JAX win, or
- 7)LAC loss + JAX win + NE win/tie, or
- 8)LAC loss + JAX win + at least 5 total wins from (NYG, WSH, DET, CAR, TB, ARI, SF, CLE)
Clinched the playoff berth.
No week 17 result clinches the AFC West title or No. 1 seed.
Seed builder
Pin seats or set a club’s goal to see which AFC seedings fit and which are still possible.
Playoff odds
A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.
| Chance of | StrengthStrength of sched.Pythagorean | Coin flipCoin flipevery game 50/50 |
|---|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | — | — |
| Win the division | — | — |
| Wild card berth | — | — |
| No. 1 seed and bye | — | — |
| Final seed | ||
| #1 seed | — | — |
| #2 seed | — | — |
| #3 seed | — | — |
| #4 seed | — | — |
| #5 seed | — | — |
| #6 seed | — | — |
| #7 seed | — | — |
| Miss the playoffs | — | — |
Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.