5-12
Week 12 scenarios
No. 1 seed
Eliminated with
- 1)CLE loss/tie, or
- 2)IND win/tie, or
- 3)JAX win, or
- 4)NE win/tie, or
- 5)BUF win/tie + JAX tie, or
- 6)BAL win/tie + JAX tie + TEN loss/tie
Some ways this week can go are not settled yet; more may end it.
No week 12 result clinches or ends the playoff berth or AFC North title.
No week 12 result clinches the No. 1 seed.
Seed builder
Pin seats or set a club’s goal to see which AFC seedings fit and which are still possible.
Playoff odds
A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.
| Chance of | StrengthStrength of sched.Pythagorean | Coin flipCoin flipevery game 50/50 |
|---|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | — | — |
| Win the division | — | — |
| Wild card berth | — | — |
| No. 1 seed and bye | — | — |
| Final seed | ||
| #1 seed | — | — |
| #2 seed | — | — |
| #3 seed | — | — |
| #4 seed | — | — |
| #5 seed | — | — |
| #6 seed | — | — |
| #7 seed | — | — |
| Miss the playoffs | — | — |
Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.