6-11
Week 15 scenarios
Playoff berth
Eliminated with
- 1)KC tie + BUF win + HOU win + IND win + JAX win, or
- 2)KC tie + BUF win + HOU win + IND win + JAX tie + KC loses 3-way SOV tie with BAL & JAX, or
- 3)KC tie + BAL loss + BUF win + HOU win + IND win + JAX tie, or
- 4)KC tie + BAL tie + BUF win + HOU win + IND win + JAX tie + PIT loss, or
- 5)KC tie + BAL loss + BUF tie + HOU win + IND win + JAX win/tie + PIT win + KC loses 3-way SOV tie with BUF & IND, or
- 6)KC tie + BUF tie + HOU win + IND win + JAX tie + PIT win + KC loses 4-way SOV tie with BAL & BUF & IND + KC loses 4-way SOV tie with BAL & BUF & JAX + KC loses 3-way SOV tie with BAL & JAX + KC loses 3-way SOV tie with BUF & IND, or
- 7)KC loss + BUF win/tie + HOU win + JAX win/tie, or
- 8)KC loss + BUF win/tie + IND win + JAX win/tie, or
A scenario that names a tie holds where this week's other games settle that tie; open it for those games.
Eliminated from the AFC West title and No. 1 seed.
No results found for what clinches the playoff berth.
Seed builder
Pin seats or set a club’s goal to see which AFC seedings fit and which are still possible.
Playoff odds
A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.
| Chance of | StrengthStrength of sched.Pythagorean | Coin flipCoin flipevery game 50/50 |
|---|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | — | — |
| Win the division | — | — |
| Wild card berth | — | — |
| No. 1 seed and bye | — | — |
| Final seed | ||
| #1 seed | — | — |
| #2 seed | — | — |
| #3 seed | — | — |
| #4 seed | — | — |
| #5 seed | — | — |
| #6 seed | — | — |
| #7 seed | — | — |
| Miss the playoffs | — | — |
Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.