MLB · 2026 Season
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Those games are the scenario. Everything else below is filled in as one way the rest could play out.
Every remaining game goes to the home side. Nothing about that is a prediction.
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Cleveland and Los Angeles finish 86-76, tied for the No. 6 seed. Their season series is 3-3, their division and intraleague records match, and each went 22-22 in intraleague games after the All-Star break. Because the two clubs have the same number of post-break intraleague games (44), the expanding window compares like-sized records at every step -- and their results line up game for game all the way back through every one of their 70 first-half intraleague games. The procedure runs out of steps: commissioner's discretion decides who makes the playoffs.
The same pair, tied 87-75 for the last Wild Card. Level through head-to-head, division, intraleague, the post-break record and "last half plus" 1 through 68 -- separated only at plus 69, their second intraleague game of the season, with the first game paying the difference back. As deep as a two-club tie can go in 2026 and still be broken.
Two division winners at 102-60, tied for the National League's top seed and the bye that comes with it. The Dodgers and Nationals are the National League's only cross-division pair with a six-game series and the same number of post-break intraleague games (50), so the same construction works: 3-3 head to head, matching division and intraleague records, 29-21 each after the break, and identical results back through all 64 first-half intraleague games. Nothing in the procedure separates them.
Guardians, Angels and Red Sox all finish 87-75, tied for the No. 6 seed with two of the three going home. Every season series among them is 3-3, so the three-club cascade applies: division records match, intraleague records match, all three are exactly .500 in post-break intraleague games. At "last half plus one" (excluding games among the tied clubs) Boston falls short and Cleveland and Los Angeles share the top figure -- which, per the text, sends those two to the two-club procedure. That procedure then exhausts every step as well. No three-club tie in 2026 can survive past plus one without the clubs going undefeated against the rest of the league; this is the deepest a group tie can go, and its ending is still a coin nobody has said how to flip.
Each matchup's remaining games are controlled by two handles: drag the left one (or tap its + button) to hand games to the left team, the right one to hand games to the right team. Whatever gap is left between them is still undecided. Completed games (hidden by default; check "Allow editing completed games" to reveal them) use a single slider, since a real result already exists for those. Everything recomputes instantly in your browser, and nothing is sent to the server.
ARIvsSD
ATHvsHOU
ATLvsMIA
BALvsNYY
BOSvsCHC
CHWvsCOL
CINvsTOR
CLEvsKC
DETvsPIT
LAAvsSEA
LADvsSF
MILvsSTL
MINvsTEX
NYMvsWSH
PHIvsTB
The standings and the seeds those games make, with every record the tiebreak procedure compares — and the steps it actually needed.
Where every club finishes, and in what seed order, on the games as they are set above.
| Team | Record | Pct | GL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIL | 103-59 | 0.636 | 0 |
| 2 | LAD | 98-64 | 0.605 | 0 |
| 3 | ATL | 93-69 | 0.574 | 0 |
| 4 | SD | 91-71 | 0.562 | 0 |
| 5 | PHI | 89-73 | 0.549 | 0 |
| 6 | CHC | 88-74 | 0.543 | 0 |
| 7 | ARI | 86-76 | 0.531 | 0 |
| 8 | MIA | 81-81 | 0.500 | 0 |
| 9 | PIT | 81-81 | 0.500 | 0 |
| 10 | WSH | 78-84 | 0.481 | 0 |
| 11 | STL | 77-85 | 0.475 | 0 |
| 12 | CIN | 74-88 | 0.457 | 0 |
| 13 | NYM | 73-89 | 0.451 | 0 |
| 14 | SF | 67-95 | 0.414 | 0 |
| 15 | COL | 57-105 | 0.352 | 0 |
| # | Team | Div | Record | Pct | GL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIL | Central | 35-17 | 0.673 | 0 |
| 2 | ARI | West | 32-20 | 0.615 | 0 |
| 3 | ATL | East | 32-20 | 0.615 | 0 |
| 4 | SD | West | 32-20 | 0.615 | 0 |
| 5 | LAD | West | 31-21 | 0.596 | 0 |
| 6 | PHI | East | 28-24 | 0.538 | 0 |
| 7 | CHC | Central | 26-26 | 0.500 | 0 |
| 8 | NYM | East | 26-26 | 0.500 | 0 |
| 9 | PIT | Central | 26-26 | 0.500 | 0 |
| 10 | MIA | East | 25-27 | 0.481 | 0 |
| 11 | STL | Central | 24-28 | 0.462 | 0 |
| 12 | CIN | Central | 19-33 | 0.365 | 0 |
| 13 | SF | West | 19-33 | 0.365 | 0 |
| 14 | WSH | East | 19-33 | 0.365 | 0 |
| 15 | COL | West | 16-36 | 0.308 | 0 |
| # | Team | Record | Pct | GL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIL | 71-43 | 0.623 | 0 |
| 2 | CHC | 67-47 | 0.588 | 0 |
| 3 | LAD | 67-47 | 0.588 | 0 |
| 4 | ATL | 66-48 | 0.579 | 0 |
| 5 | ARI | 62-52 | 0.544 | 0 |
| 6 | PHI | 62-52 | 0.544 | 0 |
| 7 | SD | 62-52 | 0.544 | 0 |
| 8 | MIA | 59-55 | 0.518 | 0 |
| 9 | STL | 54-60 | 0.474 | 0 |
| 10 | SF | 51-63 | 0.447 | 0 |
| 11 | NYM | 50-64 | 0.439 | 0 |
| 12 | PIT | 50-64 | 0.439 | 0 |
| 13 | WSH | 50-64 | 0.439 | 0 |
| 14 | CIN | 46-68 | 0.404 | 0 |
| 15 | COL | 38-76 | 0.333 | 0 |
| # | Team | Record | Pct | GL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD | 33-15 | 0.688 | 0 |
| 2 | MIL | 33-18 | 0.647 | 0 |
| 3 | ATL | 28-20 | 0.583 | 0 |
| 4 | LAD | 28-22 | 0.560 | 0 |
| 5 | ARI | 25-20 | 0.556 | 0 |
| 6 | CHC | 24-20 | 0.545 | 0 |
| 7 | NYM | 23-21 | 0.523 | 0 |
| 8 | PHI | 21-20 | 0.512 | 0 |
| 9 | SF | 18-21 | 0.462 | 0 |
| 10 | MIA | 24-29 | 0.453 | 0 |
| 11 | CIN | 23-29 | 0.442 | 0 |
| 12 | WSH | 21-29 | 0.420 | 0 |
| 13 | PIT | 16-25 | 0.390 | 0 |
| 14 | STL | 20-32 | 0.385 | 0 |
| 15 | COL | 12-28 | 0.300 | 0 |
Two-club tie for the No. 8 seed (outside the playoff spots): Marlins, Pirates
Marlins 81-81 (.500) · Pirates 81-81 (.500)
Head-to-head — comparing Marlins, Pirates
| 1. | Marlins | 4-2 (.667) |
| 2. | Pirates | 2-4 (.333) |
MIA qualifies for the No. 8 seed (outside the playoff spots); PIT takes the next spot.
Result: 1. Marlins 2. Pirates
What the games as set above still allow: seasons that end a given way, the wins that clinch each spot, and the wins that keep it alive.
Diamondbacks are 86-76 with 0 games undecided in this scenario, so they can finish with 86 to 86 wins. Games already decided here, real or set by hand, stay as they are; only the undecided ones are searched.
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