AL East
Tampa Bay Rays
77-85
0%
Playoff ChancesChance of Playoffs
Earliest possible clinch
If every result goes the Rays' way.
Starting…
Playoffs
Waiting…
AL East
Waiting…
1st-round bye
Waiting…
No. 1 seed
Waiting…
Answers are as of when the page loaded.
How can today's Magic numbers change?
No games are left to play on Wednesday, September 9.
Today's precomputed scenarios for the Rays are out of date (a game it enumerated is no longer on the schedule); run below to compute them live.
Playoff odds
A Monte Carlo run of every remaining game and the postseason after it, twice over.
| Chance of | StrengthStrength of sched.Pythagorean | Coin flipCoin flipevery game 50/50 |
|---|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 0% | 0% |
| Win the division | 0% | 0% |
| Wild card berth | 0% | 0% |
| First-round bye (top 2) | 0% | 0% |
| No. 1 seed | 0% | 0% |
| Final seed | ||
| #1 seed | 0% | 0% |
| #2 seed | 0% | 0% |
| #3 seed | 0% | 0% |
| #4 seed | 0% | 0% |
| #5 seed | 0% | 0% |
| #6 seed | 0% | 0% |
| Miss the playoffs | 100% | 100% |
Strength of schedule plays out each remaining game weighted by both clubs' scoring and the schedule they have faced; coin flip gives every game an even chance. Each run then plays the bracket its own season set up — series lengths, home games and byes included. Percentages are simulated, never a clinch.