If the Playoffs started today…
American League
| Magic Numbers | Division Winners % | Wild Cards % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Record | Playoffs | Win Div | 1st Rnd Bye | #1 Seed | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | Playoff % |
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rays | 85-58 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 89 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 9 | 2 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 2 |  Chicago White Sox | 75-68 | 14 | 16 | 17 | — | <0.1 | 68 | 17 | <0.1 | 0.1 | 10 | 95 |
| 3 |  Houston Astros | 73-71 | 16 | 16 | — | — | <0.1 | 20 | 58 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 3 | 81 |
| 4 |  New York Yankees | 81-62 | 8 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 9 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 72 | 20 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 5 |  Boston Red Sox | 80-65 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 19 | 77 | 1 | >99.9 |
| 6 |  Cleveland Guardians | 73-72 | 17 | — | — | — | <0.1 | 10 | 5 | <0.1 | 1 | 30 | 46 |
| 7 |  Toronto Blue Jays | 72-73 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.3 | 30 | 31 |
| 8 |  Texas Rangers | 71-73 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | 2 | 18 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 13 | 33 |
| 9 |  Baltimore Orioles | 70-75 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 |  Minnesota Twins | 68-76 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | 0.2 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Seattle Mariners | 67-77 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Detroit Tigers | 66-78 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 13 |  Kansas City Royals | 64-81 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 14 |  Athletics Athletics | 58-87 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 15 |  Los Angeles Angels | 54-90 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
National League
| Magic Numbers | Division Winners % | Wild Cards % | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Record | Playoffs | Win Div | 1st Rnd Bye | #1 Seed | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | Playoff % |
| 1 |  Milwaukee Brewers | 89-56 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 25 | 9 | 0.2 | <0.1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Dodgers | 87-57 | 6 | 8 | 17 | — | 23 | 47 | 30 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | >99.9 |
| 3 |  Atlanta Braves | 85-59 | 8 | 14 | — | — | 10 | 27 | 55 | 5 | 2 | 0.1 | >99.9 |
| 4 |  Philadelphia Phillies | 81-63 | 12 | — | — | — | 0.1 | 1 | 6 | 43 | 41 | 8 | 99 |
| 5 |  Chicago Cubs | 81-64 | 11 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 49 | 42 | 8 | 99 |
| 6 |  Arizona Diamondbacks | 77-68 | 16 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 56 |
| 7 |  San Diego Padres | 76-68 | 17 | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.5 | 5 | 38 | 44 |
| 8 |  Miami Marlins | 72-73 | — | — | — | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 |  St. Louis Cardinals | 72-73 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 10 |  Pittsburgh Pirates | 71-73 | — | — | — | — | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 11 |  Cincinnati Reds | 69-75 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 12 |  Washington Nationals | 67-79 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 13 |  New York Mets | 66-78 | — | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 14 |  San Francisco Giants | 60-85 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Colorado Rockies | 55-88 | Elim | Elim | Elim | Elim | 0 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | 0 |
#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE
1Rays85-58Playoff4Div16Bye161 Seed16>99.9%2White Sox75-68Playoff14Div16Bye171 Seed—95%3Astros73-71Playoff16Div16Bye—1 Seed—81%4Yankees81-62Playoff8Div19Bye191 Seed19>99.9%5Red Sox80-65Playoff10Div—Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%6Guardians73-72Playoff17Div—Bye—1 Seed—46%Still Mathematically Alive
7Blue Jays72-73Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—31%8Rangers71-73Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—33%9Orioles70-75Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—9%10Twins68-76Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—3%11Mariners67-77Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim3%12Tigers66-78Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim0.1%13Royals64-81Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%14Athletics58-87Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim<0.1%Eliminated From Playoff Contention
15Angels54-90PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%#TEAMRECORDMAGICCHANCE
1Brewers89-56Playoff4Div9Bye151 Seed16>99.9%2Dodgers87-57Playoff6Div8Bye171 Seed—>99.9%3Braves85-59Playoff8Div14Bye—1 Seed—>99.9%4Phillies81-63Playoff12Div—Bye—1 Seed—99%5Cubs81-64Playoff11Div—Bye—1 Seed—99%6Diamondbacks77-68Playoff16Div—Bye—1 Seed—56%Still Mathematically Alive
7Padres76-68Playoff17Div—Bye—1 Seed—44%8Marlins72-73Playoff—Div—Bye—1 SeedElim2%9Cardinals72-73Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0.4%10Pirates71-73Playoff—Div—Bye—1 Seed—0.5%11Reds69-75Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%12Nationals67-79Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%13Mets66-78Playoff—DivElimByeElim1 SeedElim<0.1%Eliminated From Playoff Contention
14Giants60-85PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%15Rockies55-88PlayoffElimDivElimByeElim1 SeedElim0%Tiebreaking steps used to generate seedings1 tie
NL Wild Card race and remaining order (seeds 4-6 and below)
Two-club tie for the No. 8 seed (outside the playoff spots): Marlins, Cardinals
Marlins 72-73 (.497) · Cardinals 72-73 (.497)
Head-to-head — comparing Marlins, Cardinals
| 1. | Marlins | 4-2 (.667) |
| 2. | Cardinals | 2-4 (.333) |
MIA qualifies for the No. 8 seed (outside the playoff spots); STL takes the next spot.
Result: 1. Marlins 2. Cardinals